The Thursday NBA schedule is highlighted by Knicks vs. Pistons (-3.5) at 7 p.m. ET, which would be a first-round playoff matchup if the season ended today. The contest matches up point guards in Jalen Brunson and Cade Cunningham, and not only do they share the honor of being All-Stars, but they also have the same NBA player prop at FanDuel Sportsbook. Each player has a line for total points at 26.5, with nearly similar NBA odds for the Over and Under. Brunson has scored at least 31 points in his three games versus Detroit this year, while Cunningham is averaging 29 against New York. Backing the Over for both seems like a logical decision for Thursday NBA prop bets.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. One of the Data Scientists behind the model, Stephen Oh (@StephenOhCBS), analyzed the sim results and broke down the supporting evidence to reveal which player props have the best value for today’s slate. On Wednesday, Oh backed Over 0.5 blocks for Josh Giddey, and he tied a career-high with three blocks to return +145 odds. The NBA odds could change, so act now for maximum value.
Zach Edey Under 23.5 points + rebounds + assists (-120)
The two-time college player of the year looked like his Purdue self last game with 17 points and 19 rebounds. However, that came against a team playing out the string in Charlotte, while Edey and Memphis have to face one of the league’s best defensive teams in Minnesota on Thursday. The Timberwolves allow the sixth-fewest points per game, and three-time Defensive Player of the Year, Rudy Gobert, shut down the rookie in previous matchups. Edey has averaged just 14 points + rebounds + assists in two previous games versus Minnesota, despite logging nearly 20 minutes a game.
“This is a sell high line that is a full 6 points over his season home average of 17.6 (22-8 under 23.5),” Oh said. “After his last 4 games with 36, 33, 22, and 27 PRA the oddsmakers have set this line too high.” This…
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