The 2025 NBA Finals will shift back to Oklahoma City for Game 5 on Monday with the series tied up 2-2. It’s a best-of-three going forward as the Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder have alternated wins and losses thus far. Role players typically perform better at home, one of the Thunder vs. Pacers betting trends to keep in mind with NBA player props. However, the focus of Thunder vs. Pacers props will remain on stars like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Tyrese Haliburton. The former’s 15 fourth-quarter points in Game 4 nearly matched Indiana’s 17 as a team. He went over his NBA points prop of 34.5 on Friday and has an Over/Under of 33.5 for Game 5.
As for Haliburton, he had just two rebounds in Game 4. Haliburton’s Over/Under for rebounds in Game 5 is 4.5 in the NBA player props, juiced to -158 for the Over and +120 for the Under. The model likes the plus-money odds for the Under as one of its Thunder vs. Pacers best bets for Game 5 on online betting sites.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. One of the Data Scientists behind the model, Stephen Oh (@StephenOhCBS), analyzed the sim results and broke down the supporting evidence to reveal which player props have the best value for Monday’s slate. The NBA odds could change, so act now for maximum value. You can find more analysis from Oh and other SportsLine data analysts on their Inside The Lines blog.
Best Thunder vs. Pacers NBA Finals Game 5 NBA props (odds subject to change):
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 points (-114)Tyrese Haliburton Under 4.5 rebounds (+120)Isaiah Hartenstein Over 7.5 points + assists (-113)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 points (-114)
The MVP has 34-plus points in four of six games this regular plus postseason versus Indiana, just missing a fifth as he had 33 in another contest. He’s always looking for his shot but appeared even more aggressive in Game 4 as he had zero assists for the first time in 2024-25. OKC will…
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